About Manifold Markets
Manifold is the largest social prediction market. Bet with play-money on what happens next - in politics, sports, science, tech, AI, pop culture, and your own life - and find out how well you really know the world. Every...
Manifold is the largest social prediction market. Bet with play-money on what happens next - in politics, sports, science, tech, AI, pop culture, and your own life - and find out how well you really know the world. Every market is a question with a probability attached, set by thousands of traders putting their (play) money where their mouth is. Think the crowd is wrong? Trade against it and profit when you're right. WHAT YOU CAN DO . Trade on thousands of live markets, from elections and championships to "will my friend finish their novel this year" . Create your own market on anything in seconds and let the world weigh in . Compete on leaderboards, climb the league ladder, and keep your daily streak alive . Follow friends, comment on markets, and argue about the odds . Get notified when markets you care about move or resolve . Track your portfolio, profit, and forecasting accuracy over time WHY PREDICTION MARKETS? Prices are probabilities, so a market at 70% means traders collectively think there's a 70% chance the event happens. Manifold's forecasts have called elections, sports, and world events with striking accuracy - and you can be part of the signal. WHO IT'S FOR Forecasters, sports fans, politics junkies, news addicts, superforecasters-in-training, and anyone who's ever said "I bet..." and wanted to back it up. FREE TO PLAY Manifold runs entirely on mana, a play-money currency. You start with a free balance and earn more by trading well, creating popular markets, and logging in daily. Mana has no cash value and cannot be withdrawn or exchanged for real money. No gambling, no purchase necessary to play. Join a community of forecasters who take being right seriously - and have fun doing it.
Version History Streak widgets are here. • Add Manifold to your home screen to see your streak at a glance • Lock screen widgets too — circular, rectangular and inline • A live countdown to the daily deadline, so you never lose a streak by accident • See your remaining streak freezes and your daily quests • Meet Mani, who reacts to how your streak is going Also in this update: • Fixed a sign-in issue that could leave you stuck on the login screen • Identity verification now works better in the app 2.1.0 Aug 31 Squashing bugs and making everything faster! 1.0.26 10/14/2025 Squashing bugs and making everything faster! 1.0.25 08/06/2025 Various improvements and bugfixes. 1.0.24 07/25/2025 Various improvements and bugfixes. 1.0.23 07/24/2025 Various improvements and bugfixes. 1.0.22 04/23/2025 Various improvements and bugfixes. 1.0.21 09/20/2024 Various improvements and bugfixes. 1.0.20 09/20/2024 Numerous bugfixes and improvements 1.0.19 09/06/2024 Small improvements and bugfixes. 1.0.18 08/24/2023 Minor improvements and bugfixes. 1.0.17 06/06/2023 Minor bugfixes and improvements. 1.0.16 05/19/2023 Minor improvements. 1.0.15 04/12/2023 Small improvements & bugfixes. 1.0.14 03/29/2023 Improved in-app browser. 1.0.13 03/22/2023 Minor improvements and bugfixes. 1.0.12 03/21/2023 Small improvements and bugfixes. 1.0.11 03/20/2023 Allow users to change app theme. 1.0.10 03/02/2023 Small improvements, faster load time. 1.0.9 02/22/2023 Minor improvements, native sharing modal. 1.0.8 02/08/2023 Bug fixes, including tapped notifications not routing correctly. 1.0.7 02/01/2023 Minor bug fixes and improvements. 1.0.6 01/25/2023 Minor improvements and bug fixes. 1.0.5 01/20/2023 Minor bug fixes and improvements. 1.0.4 01/13/2023 Bugfixes and minor improvements. 1.0.3 12/22/2022
Previous Versions
Here you can find the changelog of Manifold Markets since it was posted on our website on 2023-06-21 20:43:13.
The latest version is 2.1.0 and it was updated on 2026-10-15 18:45:33. See below the changes in each version.
Manifold Markets version 2.1.0
Updated At: 2026-10-15
Changes: Version History Streak widgets are here.
• Add Manifold to your home screen to see your streak at a glance
• Lock screen widgets too — circular, rectangular and inline
• A live countdown to the daily deadline, so you never lose a streak by accident
• See your remaining streak freezes and your daily quests
• Meet Mani, who reacts to how your streak is going
Also in this update:
• Fixed a sign-in issue that could leave you stuck on the login screen
• Identity verification now works better in the app 2.1.0 Aug 31 Squashing bugs and making everything faster! 1.0.26 10/14/2025 Squashing bugs and making everything faster! 1.0.25 08/06/2025 Various improvements and bugfixes. 1.0.24 07/25/2025 Various improvements and bugfixes. 1.0.23 07/24/2025 Various improvements and bugfixes. 1.0.22 04/23/2025 Various improvements and bugfixes. 1.0.21 09/20/2024 Various improvements and bugfixes. 1.0.20 09/20/2024 Numerous bugfixes and improvements 1.0.19 09/06/2024 Small improvements and bugfixes. 1.0.18 08/24/2023 Minor improvements and bugfixes. 1.0.17 06/06/2023 Minor bugfixes and improvements. 1.0.16 05/19/2023 Minor improvements. 1.0.15 04/12/2023 Small improvements & bugfixes. 1.0.14 03/29/2023 Improved in-app browser. 1.0.13 03/22/2023 Minor improvements and bugfixes. 1.0.12 03/21/2023 Small improvements and bugfixes. 1.0.11 03/20/2023 Allow users to change app theme. 1.0.10 03/02/2023 Small improvements, faster load time. 1.0.9 02/22/2023 Minor improvements, native sharing modal. 1.0.8 02/08/2023 Bug fixes, including tapped notifications not routing correctly. 1.0.7 02/01/2023 Minor bug fixes and improvements. 1.0.6 01/25/2023 Minor improvements and bug fixes. 1.0.5 01/20/2023 Minor bug fixes and improvements. 1.0.4 01/13/2023 Bugfixes and minor improvements. 1.0.3 12/22/2022
Manifold Markets version 2.1.0
Updated At: 2026-09-03
Changes: Version History Streak widgets are here.
• Add Manifold to your home screen to see your streak at a glance
• Lock screen widgets too — circular, rectangular and inline
• A live countdown to the daily deadline, so you never lose a streak by accident
• See your remaining streak freezes and your daily quests
• Meet Mani, who reacts to how your streak is going
Also in this update:
• Fixed a sign-in issue that could leave you stuck on the login screen
• Identity verification now works better in the app 2.1.0 2d ago Squashing bugs and making everything faster! 1.0.26 10/14/2025 Squashing bugs and making everything faster! 1.0.25 08/06/2025 Various improvements and bugfixes. 1.0.24 07/25/2025 Various improvements and bugfixes. 1.0.23 07/24/2025 Various improvements and bugfixes. 1.0.22 04/23/2025 Various improvements and bugfixes. 1.0.21 09/20/2024 Various improvements and bugfixes. 1.0.20 09/20/2024 Numerous bugfixes and improvements 1.0.19 09/06/2024 Small improvements and bugfixes. 1.0.18 08/24/2023 Minor improvements and bugfixes. 1.0.17 06/06/2023 Minor bugfixes and improvements. 1.0.16 05/19/2023 Minor improvements. 1.0.15 04/12/2023 Small improvements & bugfixes. 1.0.14 03/29/2023 Improved in-app browser. 1.0.13 03/22/2023 Minor improvements and bugfixes. 1.0.12 03/21/2023 Small improvements and bugfixes. 1.0.11 03/20/2023 Allow users to change app theme. 1.0.10 03/02/2023 Small improvements, faster load time. 1.0.9 02/22/2023 Minor improvements, native sharing modal. 1.0.8 02/08/2023 Bug fixes, including tapped notifications not routing correctly. 1.0.7 02/01/2023 Minor bug fixes and improvements. 1.0.6 01/25/2023 Minor improvements and bug fixes. 1.0.5 01/20/2023 Minor bug fixes and improvements. 1.0.4 01/13/2023 Bugfixes and minor improvements. 1.0.3 12/22/2022
Manifold Markets version 1.0.26
Updated At: 2026-08-21
Changes: Version History Squashing bugs and making everything faster! 1.0.26 10/14/2025 Squashing bugs and making everything faster! 1.0.25 08/06/2025 Various improvements and bugfixes. 1.0.24 07/25/2025 Various improvements and bugfixes. 1.0.23 07/24/2025 Various improvements and bugfixes. 1.0.22 04/23/2025 Various improvements and bugfixes. 1.0.21 09/20/2024 Various improvements and bugfixes. 1.0.20 09/20/2024 Numerous bugfixes and improvements 1.0.19 09/06/2024 Small improvements and bugfixes. 1.0.18 08/24/2023 Minor improvements and bugfixes. 1.0.17 06/06/2023 Minor bugfixes and improvements. 1.0.16 05/19/2023 Minor improvements. 1.0.15 04/12/2023 Small improvements & bugfixes. 1.0.14 03/29/2023 Improved in-app browser. 1.0.13 03/22/2023 Minor improvements and bugfixes. 1.0.12 03/21/2023 Small improvements and bugfixes. 1.0.11 03/20/2023 Allow users to change app theme. 1.0.10 03/02/2023 Small improvements, faster load time. 1.0.9 02/22/2023 Minor improvements, native sharing modal. 1.0.8 02/08/2023 Bug fixes, including tapped notifications not routing correctly. 1.0.7 02/01/2023 Minor bug fixes and improvements. 1.0.6 01/25/2023 Minor improvements and bug fixes. 1.0.5 01/20/2023 Minor bug fixes and improvements. 1.0.4 01/13/2023 Bugfixes and minor improvements. 1.0.3 12/22/2022 Small fixes and improvements. 1.0.2 12/22/2022
Manifold Markets version 1.0.26
Updated At: 2025-10-14
Changes: Squashing bugs and making everything faster!
Manifold Markets version 1.0.25
Updated At: 2025-08-06
Changes: Aug 6, 2025
Version 1.0.25
Squashing bugs and making everything faster!
Manifold Markets version 1.0.22
Updated At: 2025-04-23
Changes: Apr 23, 2025
Version 1.0.22
Various improvements and bugfixes.
Manifold Markets version 1.0.21
Updated At: 2024-09-20
Changes: Sep 20, 2024
Version 1.0.21
Various improvements and bugfixes.
Manifold Markets version 1.0.19
Updated At: 2024-09-06
Changes: Sep 6, 2024
Version 1.0.19
Numerous bugfixes and improvements
Manifold Markets version 1.0.18
Updated At: 2023-08-24
Changes: Aug 24, 2023
Version 1.0.18
Small improvements and bugfixes.
Manifold Markets version 1.0.17
Updated At: 2023-06-06
Changes: Jun 6, 2023
Version 1.0.17
Minor improvements and bugfixes.
Disclaimer
Official App Store Link
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